Team Vitality’s consistent dominance throughout 2025 and into 2026, anchored by a stable roster featuring ZywOo and ropz, drives their 45.5% implied probability as the leading outcome for the IEM Cologne Major. Recent Stage 3 qualification results and strong showings at prior events like IEM Rio have reinforced trader confidence in their map pool depth and tactical execution. Team Spirit and Falcons follow at 13.5% and 11.5%, reflecting solid recent form and roster adjustments that keep them competitive in a Swiss-system format with all Stage 3 matches now best-of-three. Natus Vincere and FURIA sit further back amid mixed head-to-head records, while the field’s depth highlights the potential for upsets typical of Major play.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner
Vitality 46%
Team Spirit 14%
Falcons 12%
Natus Vincere 8.3%
$790,698 Vol.
$790,698 Vol.

Vitality
46%

Team Spirit
14%

Falcons
12%

Natus Vincere
8%

FURIA
4%

PARIVISION
3%

BetBoom
2%

FUT
2%

GamerLegion
2%

9z
2%

MOUZ
2%

Aurora
1%

The MongolZ
1%

G2
1%

Legacy
1%

Astralis
1%

Team Liquid
1%

B8
1%

Monte
1%

paiN
1%

BIG
<1%

HEROIC
<1%

M80
<1%

SINNERS
<1%

Gaimin Gladiators
<1%

MIBR
<1%

Sharks
<1%

NRG
<1%

Lynn Vision
<1%

FlyQuest
<1%

TYLOO
<1%

Thunder downunder
<1%
Vitality 46%
Team Spirit 14%
Falcons 12%
Natus Vincere 8.3%
$790,698 Vol.
$790,698 Vol.

Vitality
46%

Team Spirit
14%

Falcons
12%

Natus Vincere
8%

FURIA
4%

PARIVISION
3%

BetBoom
2%

FUT
2%

GamerLegion
2%

9z
2%

MOUZ
2%

Aurora
1%

The MongolZ
1%

G2
1%

Legacy
1%

Astralis
1%

Team Liquid
1%

B8
1%

Monte
1%

paiN
1%

BIG
<1%

HEROIC
<1%

M80
<1%

SINNERS
<1%

Gaimin Gladiators
<1%

MIBR
<1%

Sharks
<1%

NRG
<1%

Lynn Vision
<1%

FlyQuest
<1%

TYLOO
<1%

Thunder downunder
<1%
If this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 12:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Team Vitality’s consistent dominance throughout 2025 and into 2026, anchored by a stable roster featuring ZywOo and ropz, drives their 45.5% implied probability as the leading outcome for the IEM Cologne Major. Recent Stage 3 qualification results and strong showings at prior events like IEM Rio have reinforced trader confidence in their map pool depth and tactical execution. Team Spirit and Falcons follow at 13.5% and 11.5%, reflecting solid recent form and roster adjustments that keep them competitive in a Swiss-system format with all Stage 3 matches now best-of-three. Natus Vincere and FURIA sit further back amid mixed head-to-head records, while the field’s depth highlights the potential for upsets typical of Major play.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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