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Politics·Primaries

Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Adam Hamilton 86%

Patrick Schmidt 3.6%

Sandy Spidel Neumann 3.3%

Sharice Davids 1.3%

Polymarket

$128,238 Vol.

Adam Hamilton 86%

Patrick Schmidt 3.6%

Sandy Spidel Neumann 3.3%

Sharice Davids 1.3%

Polymarket

$128,238 Vol.

Adam Hamilton

$5,521 Vol.

86%

Patrick Schmidt

$18,952 Vol.

4%

Sandy Spidel Neumann

$33,634 Vol.

3%

Sharice Davids

$5,160 Vol.

1%

Kevin Latz

$1,384 Vol.

1%

Christy Davis

$35,999 Vol.

<1%

Michael Soetaert

$3,691 Vol.

<1%

Damon Anderson

$1,004 Vol.

<1%

Anne Parelkar

$18,846 Vol.

<1%

Noah Taylor

$1,184 Vol.

<1%

Erik Murray

$1,483 Vol.

<1%

Jason Hart

$1,380 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors Adam Hamilton at 86% to win the Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 4, driven by his high-profile April 30 announcement as founding pastor of the nation's largest United Methodist church and his rapid fundraising—over $1 million in the first week—dwarfing rivals in a fragmented field of over 10 candidates. State Senator Patrick Schmidt and businesswoman Sandy Spidel Neumann trail at 3.5% and 3.3%, respectively, lacking comparable name recognition or resources amid expected low Democratic primary turnout favoring established figures. No recent polls exist, but Hamilton's centrist appeal and momentum from Leawood have consolidated support, though late endorsements or scandals could shift dynamics before summer deadlines.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$128,238
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors Adam Hamilton at 86% to win the Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 4, driven by his high-profile April 30 announcement as founding pastor of the nation's largest United Methodist church and his rapid fundraising—over $1 million in the first week—dwarfing rivals in a fragmented field of over 10 candidates. State Senator Patrick Schmidt and businesswoman Sandy Spidel Neumann trail at 3.5% and 3.3%, respectively, lacking comparable name recognition or resources amid expected low Democratic primary turnout favoring established figures. No recent polls exist, but Hamilton's centrist appeal and momentum from Leawood have consolidated support, though late endorsements or scandals could shift dynamics before summer deadlines.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$128,238
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Adam Hamilton" at 86%, followed by "Patrick Schmidt" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $128.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Adam Hamilton" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Patrick Schmidt" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.