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icon for ¿Khamenei # publica del 26 de junio al 3 de julio de 2026?

¿Khamenei # publica del 26 de junio al 3 de julio de 2026?

icon for ¿Khamenei # publica del 26 de junio al 3 de julio de 2026?

¿Khamenei # publica del 26 de junio al 3 de julio de 2026?

<5 74%

20-24 7%

15-19 5.8%

5-9 6%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<5 74%

20-24 7%

15-19 5.8%

5-9 6%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<5

$16 Vol.

74%

5-9

$5 Vol.

6%

10-14

$5 Vol.

5%

15-19

$5 Vol.

6%

20-24

$45 Vol.

10%

25-29

$63 Vol.

5%

30-34

$62 Vol.

5%

35-39

$95 Vol.

3%

40-44

$51 Vol.

3%

45-49

$37 Vol.

2%

50-54

$189 Vol.

4%

55-59

$136 Vol.

2%

60+

$106 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 26, 12:00 PM ET and July 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) now operates in memorial mode following his reported death in early 2026, shifting to sporadic archival reposts and occasional statements rather than daily original content. Recent comparable weekly periods show low output—often under 10 posts—driven by the leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei, whose own account faces health-related constraints, and the absence of acute new triggers requiring frequent official messaging. Trader consensus clusters tightly around the <5 and 5-9 bins because historical patterns in this post-martyrdom phase favor minimal activity absent major escalations. Separation could emerge from diplomatic summits, missile exchanges, or religious observances falling inside the June 26–July 3 window that prompt coordinated statements or reposts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 26, 12:00 PM ET and July 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$815
Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 26, 12:00 PM ET and July 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 26, 12:00 PM ET and July 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) now operates in memorial mode following his reported death in early 2026, shifting to sporadic archival reposts and occasional statements rather than daily original content. Recent comparable weekly periods show low output—often under 10 posts—driven by the leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei, whose own account faces health-related constraints, and the absence of acute new triggers requiring frequent official messaging. Trader consensus clusters tightly around the <5 and 5-9 bins because historical patterns in this post-martyrdom phase favor minimal activity absent major escalations. Separation could emerge from diplomatic summits, missile exchanges, or religious observances falling inside the June 26–July 3 window that prompt coordinated statements or reposts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 26, 12:00 PM ET and July 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$815
Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 26, 12:00 PM ET and July 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Khamenei # publica del 26 de junio al 3 de julio de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<5" con 74%, seguido de "20-24" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 74¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 74% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Khamenei # publica del 26 de junio al 3 de julio de 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 23, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Khamenei # publica del 26 de junio al 3 de julio de 2026?", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Khamenei # publica del 26 de junio al 3 de julio de 2026?" es "<5" con 74%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 74% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "20-24" con 10%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Khamenei # publica del 26 de junio al 3 de julio de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.