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Sports·Ligue 1

Ligue 2: Team promoted to Ligue 1

icon for Ligue 2: Team promoted to Ligue 1
Sports·Ligue 1

Ligue 2: Team promoted to Ligue 1

$44,434 Vol.

May 25, 2026
Polymarket

$44,434 Vol.

Polymarket

AS Saint-Etienne

$5,512 Vol.

29%

Rodez AF

$2,563 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from the French Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Ligue 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. If the 2025-26 Ligue 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.ESTAC Troyes and Le Mans FC secured automatic promotion to Ligue 1 by finishing first and second in the 2025-26 Ligue 2 table with 67 and 62 points after 34 matchdays, Troyes boasting a +27 goal difference and Le Mans extending their back-to-back ascent. The battle for a potential third spot now centers on the promotion playoffs, where Rodez AF upset Red Star FC 3-2 on aggregate in the quarter-final last week. Today, May 15, AS Saint-Étienne hosts Rodez in the semi-final at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, leveraging their third-place finish, superior attack (59 goals scored), and home advantage; the winner advances to a two-legged final against Ligue 1's 16th-placed team on May 21-24 for the decisive Ligue 1 berth, underscoring the high-stakes uncertainty in trader consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from the French Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Ligue 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Ligue 1 and Ligue 2.

If the 2025-26 Ligue 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$44,434
End Date
May 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 5:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from the French Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Ligue 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. If the 2025-26 Ligue 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from the French Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Ligue 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. If the 2025-26 Ligue 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.ESTAC Troyes and Le Mans FC secured automatic promotion to Ligue 1 by finishing first and second in the 2025-26 Ligue 2 table with 67 and 62 points after 34 matchdays, Troyes boasting a +27 goal difference and Le Mans extending their back-to-back ascent. The battle for a potential third spot now centers on the promotion playoffs, where Rodez AF upset Red Star FC 3-2 on aggregate in the quarter-final last week. Today, May 15, AS Saint-Étienne hosts Rodez in the semi-final at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, leveraging their third-place finish, superior attack (59 goals scored), and home advantage; the winner advances to a two-legged final against Ligue 1's 16th-placed team on May 21-24 for the decisive Ligue 1 berth, underscoring the high-stakes uncertainty in trader consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from the French Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Ligue 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Ligue 1 and Ligue 2.

If the 2025-26 Ligue 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$44,434
End Date
May 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 5:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from the French Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Ligue 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. If the 2025-26 Ligue 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Ligue 2: Team promoted to Ligue 1" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Le Mans FC" at 100%, followed by "ESTAC Troyes" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Ligue 2: Team promoted to Ligue 1" has generated $44.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Ligue 2: Team promoted to Ligue 1," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ligue 2: Team promoted to Ligue 1" is "Le Mans FC" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ESTAC Troyes" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ligue 2: Team promoted to Ligue 1" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.