G2 Esports holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 43% implied probability to win the LEC 2026 Spring Split, just ahead of Karmine Corp at 38.5%, reflecting their dominant Week 7 clash where G2 handed KC its first regular-season loss in a clean 2-0 sweep. Vitality clinched the #1 seed with an 8-1 series record and eight straight wins, yet markets discount them at 15.2% amid questions over playoff depth against top rosters. The double-elimination playoffs kick off May 23 with Bo5 upper bracket quarterfinals pitting #2 KC vs. #3 G2 and #1 Vitality vs. #4 Movistar KOI (15%), while #5 Natus Vincere and #6 GIANTX enter the lower bracket as longshots. Locked rosters and recent head-to-head momentum keep the top duo's race intensely competitive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLEC 2026 Spring Winner
LEC 2026 Spring Winner
G2 Esports 43%
Karmine Corp 39%
Team Vitality 15.3%
Movistar KOI 15%
$27,332 Vol.
$27,332 Vol.

G2 Esports
43%

Karmine Corp
39%

Team Vitality
15%

Movistar KOI
15%

Natus Vincere
1%

GIANTX
1%

Team Heretics
<1%

SK Gaming
<1%

Fnatic
<1%

Shifters
<1%
G2 Esports 43%
Karmine Corp 39%
Team Vitality 15.3%
Movistar KOI 15%
$27,332 Vol.
$27,332 Vol.

G2 Esports
43%

Karmine Corp
39%

Team Vitality
15%

Movistar KOI
15%

Natus Vincere
1%

GIANTX
1%

Team Heretics
<1%

SK Gaming
<1%

Fnatic
<1%

Shifters
<1%
If the 2026 Spring season is postponed after June 14, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 11:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 Spring season is postponed after June 14, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...G2 Esports holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 43% implied probability to win the LEC 2026 Spring Split, just ahead of Karmine Corp at 38.5%, reflecting their dominant Week 7 clash where G2 handed KC its first regular-season loss in a clean 2-0 sweep. Vitality clinched the #1 seed with an 8-1 series record and eight straight wins, yet markets discount them at 15.2% amid questions over playoff depth against top rosters. The double-elimination playoffs kick off May 23 with Bo5 upper bracket quarterfinals pitting #2 KC vs. #3 G2 and #1 Vitality vs. #4 Movistar KOI (15%), while #5 Natus Vincere and #6 GIANTX enter the lower bracket as longshots. Locked rosters and recent head-to-head momentum keep the top duo's race intensely competitive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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