Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological authorities and global models indicate Beijing will experience clear skies and northwest winds on October 1, 2026, supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 10°C. This aligns with observed morning temperatures dipping below 10°C after recent cold air advection and places the expected low within the historical range for early October, though slightly below the 12.5°C climatological average. Trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for 10°C reflects high confidence in these model runs and official guidance, with limited divergence among ensembles. A warmer boundary layer or stronger mixing from sustained winds could realistically shift the low to 11°C or above, while unexpected further cooling from a stronger high-pressure system might push it to 9°C. Updated overnight observations and final model runs before resolution will provide the decisive data.