**Short-term forecast models from sources like the Met Office, SMN, and ensemble runs show Buenos Aires lows on October 6 centered around 13–16°C under easterly to northeasterly flow, increased cloud cover, and light drizzle potential that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.** Recent stabilization after weekend instability has moderated extremes, with historical October averages near 14°C providing context. Trader consensus splits near 50/50 between sub-9°C and 19°C+ outcomes because small differences in wind strength, marine layer depth, or exact frontal timing can shift the minimum by several degrees; models currently cluster in the middle but retain spread on boundary-layer mixing. Upcoming high-resolution runs and local observations will likely tighten implied probabilities ahead of resolution.