Recent forecast model runs show notable uncertainty in Cape Town's overnight minimum for October 2, with guidance clustered near 14–15°C amid a transition from northwesterly to southerly flow. Persistent cloud cover and light showers limit radiative cooling while shifting winds may advect cooler maritime air or allow brief clearing that enhances temperature drops. Historical early-October lows average near 13°C, but current ensemble spread supports both sub-10°C scenarios under stronger cold advection and 20°C+ outcomes if marine influence dominates. Traders appear to price this model disagreement and potential last-minute forecast revisions ahead of resolution.