Recent short-range forecast runs show notable divergence in overnight minimum temperatures for Cape Town on October 3, with some models projecting a cool southeasterly flow and clear skies yielding lows near or below 10°C, while others indicate milder conditions with minima around 14–15°C. Typical early-October climatology features average lows near 13°C, modulated by the seasonal strengthening of the South Atlantic high and variable cloud cover. Strong SE winds, common in the region, can enhance radiational cooling under clear skies or limit it with mixing. Updated model guidance from agencies such as the South African Weather Service and global ensembles, plus any observed pressure trends over the next 48 hours, will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.