Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models point to a high temperature of 21–22°C in Wuhan on October 1, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air and widespread rain that limits daytime heating. Current consensus from sources such as LUFT and AccuWeather shows daily maxima clustered in this range amid 78–90% precipitation probability and elevated humidity near 80%, conditions that suppress the typical early-October average near 23°C. Model runs emphasize the influence of a passing frontal system, with limited disagreement on peak values. Traders have priced 22°C highest at 53% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C and 23°C, reflecting the narrow spread in official guidance ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions