Recent forecast models from sources like Environment Canada and GFS consensus point to a minimum temperature near 12–14°C on October 2 in Toronto, driven by northwest winds following showers and a moderating high-pressure build. This aligns with a broader warmer-than-normal autumn pattern linked to elevated Pacific sea-surface temperatures, pushing seasonal averages above the historical October low of roughly 7–8°C. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% between sub-6°C and 16°C-plus outcomes because short-range model runs still diverge on overnight cloud cover, wind strength, and exact timing of clearing skies—variables that can shift the overnight minimum by several degrees. Updated model guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow gap between moderate and outlier scenarios.