Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including those aligned with Open-Meteo data, show Guangzhou's minimum temperature on October 8 stabilizing at 20°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This reflects typical early-autumn conditions in the region, where daytime highs near 30°C give way to radiative cooling overnight, consistent with the historical average low of about 21.9°C and recent years' observations around 20–22°C. The market's 100% implied probability for 20°C captures this strong model consensus and trader assessment of official resolution criteria. A sudden increase in cloud cover or unexpected moisture could elevate the minimum slightly, while an unforecasted cold surge remains possible but improbable given current atmospheric patterns before final measurements.