Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on October 8, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature of 12°C, consistent with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Multiple model runs show overnight lows stabilizing near this level under mild, mostly cloudy conditions with daytime highs around 20°C, aligning with early-October climatology for the region. Official observations from stations such as Atatürk Airport will resolve the market, with any deviations likely limited to localized variations or measurement timing. Scenarios that could shift the result include unforecasted radiative cooling or data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, though current consensus across sources supports minimal deviation from the projected minimum.