Forecast models from agencies tracking the Red Sea region indicate Jeddah's overnight minimum on October 8 will likely settle near 29–30 °C, aligning with the market's top-implied outcomes. Persistent high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies limit radiational cooling over the warm coastal waters, keeping nighttime temperatures elevated relative to inland deserts. Historical October baselines for the city average 28–30 °C lows, and recent observations show no incoming trough or increased humidity that would drive sharper drops. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions heavily, with lower-probability buckets below 26 °C reflecting the low likelihood of atypical cooling events before resolution.