Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate nighttime lows in Jeddah on October 9 near 28–30°C under clear, stable high-pressure conditions, supporting the market's tight contest between a 29°C low (53% implied) and warmer outcomes. Coastal moderation from the Red Sea, combined with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, limits radiative cooling overnight while daytime heating remains strong in the seasonal transition from summer. Historical October lows average around 25–27°C, yet current model consensus shows slightly elevated minima due to persistent warmth and low humidity. Traders appear to weigh these stable patterns against potential minor forecast revisions from updated runs, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings near dawn.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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