Trader consensus heavily favors a 13°C minimum in London on October 5, reflecting Met Office and model consensus for overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure that should allow temperatures to bottom out near that level after daytime highs near 22–23°C. This aligns with typical early-October patterns when calm conditions permit efficient heat loss from the surface. Recent model runs show tight agreement on the overnight low, with limited variability expected from the current stable air mass. A thicker cloud deck developing overnight or an unanticipated increase in wind speed could limit cooling and push the minimum above 13°C, while an earlier or stronger cold front arrival might drive it lower.