Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and other models indicate London’s overnight low on October 7 will likely settle near 10–11 °C as a northerly flow behind an Atlantic front replaces the recent warm spell, with widespread cloud, rain, and moderate northwesterly winds limiting radiational cooling. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 11 °C and 10 °C, reflecting the consensus minimum under partly to mostly cloudy, damp conditions rather than clear skies that could allow deeper cooling. Historical early-October baselines for London hover around 10–12 °C, and current guidance shows limited model spread, though any faster clearance of rain or weaker winds could nudge readings slightly lower before official Met Office observations finalize the market.