Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points near 78°F are limiting overnight radiative cooling across Miami, supporting National Weather Service guidance for a minimum temperature in the 79–82°F range on October 10. Scattered to likely thunderstorms through the period add cloud cover and moisture that further suppress temperature drops, while breezy southeast winds of 10–18 mph enhance mixing. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 80–81°F outcome at 45.5% implied probability, though model spread in convective timing introduces modest uncertainty around exact hourly minima. Historical October lows average near 75°F, but the current warm, humid regime has kept recent daily minima in the upper 70s. Updated forecast discussions and overnight observations will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.