Current forecast models indicate a mild overnight low near 12–13°C for Milan on October 11, driven by moderate high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This places the outcome between the closely matched market extremes of 5°C or below and 15°C or higher, where traders weigh potential model shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could enhance or suppress surface cooling. Historical October minima in the Po Valley average around 10–12°C, but short-term ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to evolving synoptic steering and local humidity levels. Updated runs from agencies like ECMWF or local meteorological services over the next 48 hours will refine the minimum temperature threshold.