Current forecast models from sources including Open-Meteo and national agencies point to a Friday night minimum near 12–14°C in Milan, driven by clearing skies after midweek rain, northerly winds advecting cooler air, and radiational cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Ensemble spreads create genuine uncertainty around exact overnight lows, with some runs showing slightly stronger cooling if winds calm more than expected while others keep readings higher amid lingering moisture. This scientific range underpins the near-even market split between sub-7°C and 17°C-plus outcomes, as traders weigh model consensus against historical October variability in the Po Valley. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local monitoring on October 8 will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.