Current forecast models, including GFS and Open-Meteo runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C in Milan on October 8, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, light rain, and light easterly winds. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling and maintain higher overnight readings than typical clear-sky scenarios. Official station data from sites like Milan Linate will determine the exact low once the calendar day concludes. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 13–15°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest downside risk from any late clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling. Historical October minima average near 12°C, providing context for why extremes below 11°C carry negligible implied probability.