Latest forecast models, including GFS and regional guidance, point to a minimum temperature near 7–8°C in Moscow on September 28 under northerly flow and variable cloud cover following overnight showers. Trader sentiment remains evenly split between sub-4°C and 14°C+ outcomes due to uncertainty in radiative cooling rates once skies clear, with lighter winds potentially allowing greater temperature drops than currently modeled. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, while climatological September minima near 5–6°C provide context for the range of possibilities. Official observations from the Moscow station will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.