Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and GFS consensus currently indicate overnight lows in Munich near 5–8 °C under clear skies and light variable winds that permit moderate radiational cooling but limit deeper drops. This aligns with the market-implied emphasis on 1 °C as the leading outcome, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-autumn high-pressure patterns rather than the historical record low of –1.9 °C. Recent observations show daytime highs around 16–19 °C with low precipitation risk, keeping probabilities for sub-zero readings subdued at 21 % while underscoring uncertainty in final official station readings. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will provide the next key data points for resolution criteria.