Current forecasts from sources including DWD-MOS and GFS ensembles indicate Munich's overnight low on September 26 will likely fall between 6–9°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity favoring radiative cooling but not frost. This aligns with the September climatological average low near 8.9°C and recent mild conditions, reducing the chance of extremes. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact dew-point depression creates uncertainty around the precise minimum, which explains the near-even market-implied odds between 0°C or below and 10°C or higher despite central outcomes like 6–8°C carrying lower probabilities. Updated model runs and official observations will clarify resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions