Recent high-pressure dominance over central Europe has promoted clear skies and moderate radiative cooling in Munich, anchoring current ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service and ECMWF around a 9–10°C minimum for September 28. This setup limits cold-air advection or enhanced nocturnal cooling that would be required to reach 1°C or below, while also constraining warmer boundary-layer mixing needed for an 11°C-or-higher low. The tight 50–49% market split between these extremes highlights sensitivity to small variations in wind speed, humidity, and cloud cover within the stable airmass. Updated model guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will clarify whether any late adjustments in steering patterns shift the expected overnight minimum.