Persistent northeasterly flow and a coastal low-pressure system are keeping New York City under widespread rain and showers through September 28, with National Weather Service forecasts indicating a daily minimum near 60–62°F under mostly cloudy skies and sustained winds of 10–15 mph. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread in overnight temperatures due to steady moisture advection and cloud cover suppressing radiational cooling, though exact minimums hinge on the timing and intensity of showers that could briefly lower readings or allow slight warming. This genuine forecast uncertainty across short-range models supports the tightly clustered market-implied odds near 20–24% for each temperature bin, with resolution depending on official Central Park observations. Updated NWS guidance and new model runs expected later today offer the next key data points for traders.