Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to overnight lows of 25–26°C for Seoul on July 30, reflecting near-term forecast consensus from models such as those issued by the Korea Meteorological Administration. Typical late-July climatology features humid subtropical conditions with minimum temperatures averaging 24–26°C, modulated by cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered showers and variable high humidity in recent days have kept surface temperatures elevated, narrowing the range between 24°C and 27°C outcomes while reducing the likelihood of extremes below 23°C or above 28°C. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as forecasters incorporate the latest ensemble runs and local observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on July 30?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on July 30?
26°C 98%
25°C 2%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$19,198 Vol.
$19,198 Vol.
Jul 30, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
98%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 98%
25°C 2%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$19,198 Vol.
$19,198 Vol.
Jul 30, 2026
21°C or below
$465 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$395 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$564 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$711 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,418 Vol.
2%
26°C
$3,608 Vol.
98%
27°C
$7,866 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$795 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$508 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$538 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$331 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to overnight lows of 25–26°C for Seoul on July 30, reflecting near-term forecast consensus from models such as those issued by the Korea Meteorological Administration. Typical late-July climatology features humid subtropical conditions with minimum temperatures averaging 24–26°C, modulated by cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered showers and variable high humidity in recent days have kept surface temperatures elevated, narrowing the range between 24°C and 27°C outcomes while reducing the likelihood of extremes below 23°C or above 28°C. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as forecasters incorporate the latest ensemble runs and local observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$19,198End Date
Jul 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to overnight lows of 25–26°C for Seoul on July 30, reflecting near-term forecast consensus from models such as those issued by the Korea Meteorological Administration. Typical late-July climatology features humid subtropical conditions with minimum temperatures averaging 24–26°C, modulated by cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered showers and variable high humidity in recent days have kept surface temperatures elevated, narrowing the range between 24°C and 27°C outcomes while reducing the likelihood of extremes below 23°C or above 28°C. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as forecasters incorporate the latest ensemble runs and local observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,198End Date
Jul 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to overnight lows of 25–26°C for Seoul on July 30, reflecting near-term forecast consensus from models such as those issued by the Korea Meteorological Administration. Typical late-July climatology features humid subtropical conditions with minimum temperatures averaging 24–26°C, modulated by cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered showers and variable high humidity in recent days have kept surface temperatures elevated, narrowing the range between 24°C and 27°C outcomes while reducing the likelihood of extremes below 23°C or above 28°C. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as forecasters incorporate the latest ensemble runs and local observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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