Latest forecast models from agencies including NOAA and regional Chinese meteorological services converge on a minimum temperature of 15–16°C overnight into October 6, driven by clear skies allowing efficient radiative cooling under moderate northwest winds and low humidity. This setup, typical of early-autumn high-pressure influence following recent frontal passages, has produced the observed cooling trend from mid-week highs near 23°C. Trader consensus heavily favors 16°C as the most probable outcome, reflecting model agreement and limited downside risk from additional advection, while lower bins remain thinly priced given the absence of stronger cold-air outbreaks. Final resolution will hinge on official overnight station readings, with any last-hour model adjustments potentially shifting implied probabilities ahead of the daily minimum.