Forecast models from agencies tracking Shanghai conditions indicate a minimum temperature near 14–15°C on October 7, driven by clear skies, light northwest winds, and strong overnight radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system. Recent observations show daytime highs reaching 23–25°C with minimal cloud cover and dry air, allowing efficient heat loss after sunset. Historical October baselines and current ensemble guidance align with this range, though minor model variations in boundary-layer mixing could nudge readings slightly higher or lower. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 14°C and 15°C, incorporates these stable atmospheric conditions ahead of official station measurements.