Current numerical weather models, including those from Chinese meteorological services, forecast a high near 25°C for Chengdu on October 6 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation. Trader emphasis on 26–27°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in afternoon clearing and boundary-layer heating, as reduced cloud cover could allow greater solar insolation and push readings 1–2°C higher than baseline guidance. Persistent stratus or earlier moisture return would instead suppress maxima toward 24°C. This setup sits slightly above the long-term October mean of roughly 22–23°C, with resolution hinging on the next GFS and ECMWF runs and local observations from the Chengdu meteorological station.