Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate Miami's overnight low on October 8 will likely settle in the mid-70s, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorm activity that limits radiational cooling. Average early-October lows hover near 75°F, and current conditions show no significant cold-air intrusion or clear-sky setup that would push temperatures lower. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 74–79°F range reflects this model consensus, while the low probability assigned to extremes below 72°F or above 80°F accounts for typical forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs will refine the exact minimum before resolution.