Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses indicate a highest temperature in Chongqing on October 6 most likely between 23–25°C under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation. This positions 24°C as the leading outcome, reflecting the current stabilization after recent cooler, rainy conditions around 21–23°C and the typical early-autumn transition in the Sichuan Basin’s humid subtropical climate. Model consensus shows limited warming potential without strong insolation or southerly flow, while slight divergences in cloud cover or timing keep 23°C and 25°C competitive. Traders weigh these near-term observational updates and ensemble spreads against historical October averages near 24°C, with resolution hinging on final verified readings from local meteorological stations.