**Forecast model consensus points to an overnight low in Taipei on October 2 near 23–25°C**, keeping the market tightly clustered around 21–29°C with 24°C edging ahead at 41.5% implied probability. Persistent northeast monsoon flow, elevated dew points near 24°C, and widespread cloud cover or light rain expected overnight will limit radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures above typical early-October climatological lows of 21–22°C. Numerical guidance from global and regional models shows only modest spread in the precise timing and intensity of any clearing, which explains why extremes below 21°C or at/above 30°C carry negligible odds. The official Central Weather Administration station reading will resolve the market once the calendar day ends in Taiwan Standard Time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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