Recent European model consensus, including GFS runs, points to a mild overnight period in Warsaw driven by westerly flow and moderate cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures near 10–12 °C on October 6. This setup stems from a broad high-pressure ridge maintaining above-average warmth for early October while suppressing strong cold-air advection from the north. Trader sentiment remains nearly evenly split because small shifts in timing of any clearing skies or slight backing of winds could allow greater nocturnal cooling toward single digits or keep readings elevated. The next high-resolution model updates and observational data from regional networks will clarify whether the minimum settles closer to seasonal norms or deviates notably.