Recent constituency polls for the 18 June 2026 Makerfield by-election have placed Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd between 5% and 8%, including figures from Opinium (7%), More In Common (8%), and Survation (7-8%). These results reflect limited translation from national attention and canvassing claims into broad local support, amid competition from Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon for right-leaning voters. Rivalry between the parties, including public exchanges and endorsements, has highlighted vote-splitting dynamics without shifting Restore Britain into double digits in most surveys. With the contest days away, traders appear to view these polling trends and the party’s first Westminster outing as the dominant signals favoring a sub-10% outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMakerfield-Nachwahl: Restore Britain erhält mehr als 10 %?
Makerfield-Nachwahl: Restore Britain erhält mehr als 10 %?
Ja
$17,506 Vol.
$17,506 Vol.
18. Juni 2026
Ja
$17,506 Vol.
$17,506 Vol.
18. Juni 2026
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent constituency polls for the 18 June 2026 Makerfield by-election have placed Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd between 5% and 8%, including figures from Opinium (7%), More In Common (8%), and Survation (7-8%). These results reflect limited translation from national attention and canvassing claims into broad local support, amid competition from Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon for right-leaning voters. Rivalry between the parties, including public exchanges and endorsements, has highlighted vote-splitting dynamics without shifting Restore Britain into double digits in most surveys. With the contest days away, traders appear to view these polling trends and the party’s first Westminster outing as the dominant signals favoring a sub-10% outcome.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Markt eröffnet: Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volumen
$17,506Enddatum
18. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent constituency polls for the 18 June 2026 Makerfield by-election have placed Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd between 5% and 8%, including figures from Opinium (7%), More In Common (8%), and Survation (7-8%). These results reflect limited translation from national attention and canvassing claims into broad local support, amid competition from Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon for right-leaning voters. Rivalry between the parties, including public exchanges and endorsements, has highlighted vote-splitting dynamics without shifting Restore Britain into double digits in most surveys. With the contest days away, traders appear to view these polling trends and the party’s first Westminster outing as the dominant signals favoring a sub-10% outcome.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volumen
$17,506Enddatum
18. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent constituency polls for the 18 June 2026 Makerfield by-election have placed Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd between 5% and 8%, including figures from Opinium (7%), More In Common (8%), and Survation (7-8%). These results reflect limited translation from national attention and canvassing claims into broad local support, amid competition from Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon for right-leaning voters. Rivalry between the parties, including public exchanges and endorsements, has highlighted vote-splitting dynamics without shifting Restore Britain into double digits in most surveys. With the contest days away, traders appear to view these polling trends and the party’s first Westminster outing as the dominant signals favoring a sub-10% outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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