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icon for Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?
Sports·New England Patriots

Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?

icon for Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?
Sports·New England Patriots

Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?

27% chance
Polymarket

$14,113 Vol.

27% chance
Polymarket

$14,113 Vol.

This market will resolve according to “Yes” if Mike Vrabel ceases to be the Head Coach of the New England Patriots for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered. An announcement of Mike Vrabel's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the New England Patriots and/or Mike Vrabel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The New England Patriots’ recent turnaround under Mike Vrabel, including a 14-3 record and Super Bowl appearance in his first season as head coach, anchors trader expectations that he will remain in place through December 2026. Organizational statements emphasize full support for Vrabel’s decision to prioritize family and personal counseling following April reports of off-field matters, with executive vice president Eliot Wolf confirming the coach has returned to full duties and no immediate plans for separation. Quarterback Drake Maye publicly endorsed Vrabel as a stabilizing force, while the franchise continues to shield his position rather than pursue a mid-season change. These factors, combined with the absence of formal disciplinary action or reported coaching searches, explain the 74 percent implied probability that Vrabel stays through the 2026 campaign.

This market will resolve according to “Yes” if Mike Vrabel ceases to be the Head Coach of the New England Patriots for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered.

An announcement of Mike Vrabel's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the New England Patriots and/or Mike Vrabel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$14,113
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 2:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to “Yes” if Mike Vrabel ceases to be the Head Coach of the New England Patriots for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered. An announcement of Mike Vrabel's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the New England Patriots and/or Mike Vrabel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to “Yes” if Mike Vrabel ceases to be the Head Coach of the New England Patriots for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered. An announcement of Mike Vrabel's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the New England Patriots and/or Mike Vrabel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The New England Patriots’ recent turnaround under Mike Vrabel, including a 14-3 record and Super Bowl appearance in his first season as head coach, anchors trader expectations that he will remain in place through December 2026. Organizational statements emphasize full support for Vrabel’s decision to prioritize family and personal counseling following April reports of off-field matters, with executive vice president Eliot Wolf confirming the coach has returned to full duties and no immediate plans for separation. Quarterback Drake Maye publicly endorsed Vrabel as a stabilizing force, while the franchise continues to shield his position rather than pursue a mid-season change. These factors, combined with the absence of formal disciplinary action or reported coaching searches, explain the 74 percent implied probability that Vrabel stays through the 2026 campaign.

This market will resolve according to “Yes” if Mike Vrabel ceases to be the Head Coach of the New England Patriots for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered.

An announcement of Mike Vrabel's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the New England Patriots and/or Mike Vrabel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$14,113
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 2:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to “Yes” if Mike Vrabel ceases to be the Head Coach of the New England Patriots for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered. An announcement of Mike Vrabel's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the New England Patriots and/or Mike Vrabel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 27% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 27¢, the market collectively assigns a 27% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?" has generated $14.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?" is 27% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 27% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.