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icon for MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner
Sports·Hank Aaron

MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner

icon for MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner
Sports·Hank Aaron

MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner

Pete Crow-Armstrong 33.1%

Kyle Schwarber 15.2%

Shohei Ohtani 11%

Francisco Lindor 5.1%

Polymarket

$145,876 Vol.

Pete Crow-Armstrong 33.1%

Kyle Schwarber 15.2%

Shohei Ohtani 11%

Francisco Lindor 5.1%

Polymarket

$145,876 Vol.

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$1,718 Vol.

33%

Kyle Schwarber

$94,128 Vol.

15%

Shohei Ohtani

$10,560 Vol.

11%

Francisco Lindor

$897 Vol.

5%

Bryce Harper

$1,431 Vol.

4%

Ronald Acuña Jr.

$998 Vol.

2%

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$256 Vol.

9%

Juan Soto

$35,395 Vol.

1%

Ketel Marte

$229 Vol.

1%

Mookie Betts

$265 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Crow-Armstrong’s breakout 2026 campaign, featuring a .284 average, 27 home runs, 30 stolen bases, .928 OPS and elite baserunning plus defensive value that has produced the highest NL WAR among position players, drives his 33% implied probability as the frontrunner for the National League Hank Aaron Award. Kyle Schwarber’s power surge, including a share of the MLB lead with 35-plus home runs for the Phillies, anchors his second-place standing. Shohei Ohtani’s consistent Dodgers production keeps him competitive despite a narrower edge over Fernando Tatis Jr., whose speed-power blend and Francisco Lindor’s steady contributions round out the top tier. Recent improvements in Crow-Armstrong’s walk rate and overall offensive metrics have widened his lead in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing, while the tightly bunched group behind him reflects the competitive nature of NL offensive output midway through the season.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$145,876
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Crow-Armstrong’s breakout 2026 campaign, featuring a .284 average, 27 home runs, 30 stolen bases, .928 OPS and elite baserunning plus defensive value that has produced the highest NL WAR among position players, drives his 33% implied probability as the frontrunner for the National League Hank Aaron Award. Kyle Schwarber’s power surge, including a share of the MLB lead with 35-plus home runs for the Phillies, anchors his second-place standing. Shohei Ohtani’s consistent Dodgers production keeps him competitive despite a narrower edge over Fernando Tatis Jr., whose speed-power blend and Francisco Lindor’s steady contributions round out the top tier. Recent improvements in Crow-Armstrong’s walk rate and overall offensive metrics have widened his lead in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing, while the tightly bunched group behind him reflects the competitive nature of NL offensive output midway through the season.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$145,876
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pete Crow-Armstrong" at 33%, followed by "Kyle Schwarber" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" has generated $145.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" is "Pete Crow-Armstrong" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kyle Schwarber" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.