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icon for MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)
Sports·MLB

MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)

icon for MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)
Sports·MLB

MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)

Cincinnati Reds 95.8%

Toronto Blue Jays 3.6%

Chicago Cubs 1.5%

New York Yankees 1.0%

Polymarket

$1,296,256 Vol.

Cincinnati Reds 95.8%

Toronto Blue Jays 3.6%

Chicago Cubs 1.5%

New York Yankees 1.0%

Polymarket

$1,296,256 Vol.

Cincinnati Reds

$2,944 Vol.

96%

Toronto Blue Jays

$481 Vol.

4%

Chicago Cubs

$1,817 Vol.

2%

New York Yankees

$1,573 Vol.

1%

Detroit Tigers

$153,507 Vol.

1%

Philadelphia Phillies

$557,762 Vol.

1%

Los Angeles Dodgers

$3,251 Vol.

1%

Chicago White Sox

$689 Vol.

1%

Milwaukee Brewers

$653 Vol.

1%

Athletics

$1,314 Vol.

1%

Tampa Bay Rays

$1,216 Vol.

1%

Baltimore Orioles

$759 Vol.

<1%

Cleveland Guardians

$621 Vol.

<1%

Kansas City Royals

$943 Vol.

<1%

Arizona Diamondbacks

$1,444 Vol.

<1%

Washington Nationals

$698 Vol.

<1%

Atlanta Braves

$698 Vol.

<1%

Pittsburgh Pirates

$418 Vol.

<1%

Miami Marlins

$93,519 Vol.

<1%

New York Mets

$465,789 Vol.

<1%

Boston Red Sox

$407 Vol.

<1%

Colorado Rockies

$1,389 Vol.

<1%

Houston Astros

$456 Vol.

<1%

Los Angeles Angels

$448 Vol.

<1%

Minnesota Twins

$518 Vol.

<1%

San Diego Padres

$300 Vol.

<1%

San Francisco Giants

$384 Vol.

<1%

Seattle Mariners

$374 Vol.

<1%

St. Louis Cardinals

$473 Vol.

<1%

Texas Rangers

$1,410 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Cincinnati Reds have held the top spot in MLB's ABS challenge success rate for most of the 2026 season, reaching 64.4% through the All-Star break on 141 successful overturns from 219 attempts. Their edge stems from disciplined selectivity rather than volume, with catchers like Tyler Stephenson posting individual rates above 70% by targeting clear misses early or in high-leverage spots. Manager Terry Francona's staff has emphasized preserving challenges and avoiding emotional appeals, producing a higher win percentage than more aggressive clubs such as the Twins or Rockies. With the season winding down, only a sharp late surge by another team combined with a Reds slump could realistically close the gap, though current standings reflect sustained execution by Cincinnati's battery.

This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.

If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,296,256
End Date
Oct 12, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Cincinnati Reds have held the top spot in MLB's ABS challenge success rate for most of the 2026 season, reaching 64.4% through the All-Star break on 141 successful overturns from 219 attempts. Their edge stems from disciplined selectivity rather than volume, with catchers like Tyler Stephenson posting individual rates above 70% by targeting clear misses early or in high-leverage spots. Manager Terry Francona's staff has emphasized preserving challenges and avoiding emotional appeals, producing a higher win percentage than more aggressive clubs such as the Twins or Rockies. With the season winding down, only a sharp late surge by another team combined with a Reds slump could realistically close the gap, though current standings reflect sustained execution by Cincinnati's battery.

This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.

If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,296,256
End Date
Oct 12, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cincinnati Reds" at 96%, followed by "Toronto Blue Jays" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" is "Cincinnati Reds" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Toronto Blue Jays" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.