The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 50% for several contenders reflects the narrow gap separating the Washington Nationals and New York Yankees atop the MLB home run leaderboard through mid-August. The Nationals pace the league with roughly 177-180 homers in 124-125 games, fueled by a .439 slugging percentage and contributions across their lineup, while the Yankees sit a handful behind at 170-171. Houston Astros and Atlanta Braves remain within striking distance at 164-166, supported by consistent power from players like Yordan Alvarez and Matt Olson. Late-season form, injury management, and schedule strength will likely determine final positioning in this closely contested race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWashington Nationals 40%
New York Yankees 37%
Baltimore Orioles 7.9%
Tampa Bay Rays 6.0%
$589,940 Vol.
$589,940 Vol.
Oct 11, 2026
Washington Nationals
40%
New York Yankees
37%
Baltimore Orioles
8%
Tampa Bay Rays
6%
Houston Astros
7%
Pittsburgh Pirates
6%
Minnesota Twins
5%
Atlanta Braves
4%
New York Mets
4%
Cleveland Guardians
3%
Chicago White Sox
2%
Cincinnati Reds
2%
Los Angeles Dodgers
6%
Los Angeles Angels
2%
Chicago Cubs
1%
Philadelphia Phillies
1%
Toronto Blue Jays
1%
Athletics
1%
Seattle Mariners
1%
Texas Rangers
<1%
Kansas City Royals
<1%
San Diego Padres
<1%
Arizona Diamondbacks
<1%
St. Louis Cardinals
<1%
Boston Red Sox
<1%
Miami Marlins
<1%
Detroit Tigers
<1%
San Francisco Giants
<1%
Milwaukee Brewers
<1%
Colorado Rockies
<1%
Washington Nationals 40%
New York Yankees 37%
Baltimore Orioles 7.9%
Tampa Bay Rays 6.0%
$589,940 Vol.
$589,940 Vol.
Oct 11, 2026
Washington Nationals
$2,486 Vol.
40%
New York Yankees
$905 Vol.
37%
Baltimore Orioles
$192 Vol.
8%
Tampa Bay Rays
$32,679 Vol.
6%
Houston Astros
$947 Vol.
7%
Pittsburgh Pirates
$703 Vol.
6%
Minnesota Twins
$204 Vol.
5%
Atlanta Braves
$1,664 Vol.
4%
New York Mets
$214 Vol.
4%
Cleveland Guardians
$63,971 Vol.
3%
Chicago White Sox
$2,633 Vol.
2%
Cincinnati Reds
$298 Vol.
2%
Los Angeles Dodgers
$569 Vol.
6%
Los Angeles Angels
$1,804 Vol.
2%
Chicago Cubs
$296 Vol.
1%
Philadelphia Phillies
$2,355 Vol.
1%
Toronto Blue Jays
$94,311 Vol.
1%
Athletics
$582 Vol.
1%
Seattle Mariners
$641 Vol.
1%
Texas Rangers
$94,873 Vol.
<1%
Kansas City Royals
$683 Vol.
<1%
San Diego Padres
$656 Vol.
<1%
Arizona Diamondbacks
$641 Vol.
<1%
St. Louis Cardinals
$656 Vol.
<1%
Boston Red Sox
$156,561 Vol.
<1%
Miami Marlins
$64,119 Vol.
<1%
Detroit Tigers
$63,575 Vol.
<1%
San Francisco Giants
$211 Vol.
<1%
Milwaukee Brewers
$318 Vol.
<1%
Colorado Rockies
$191 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the team that hits the most home runs during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If two teams tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the team that scores the most runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with the higher run differential during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the most home runs cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 50% for several contenders reflects the narrow gap separating the Washington Nationals and New York Yankees atop the MLB home run leaderboard through mid-August. The Nationals pace the league with roughly 177-180 homers in 124-125 games, fueled by a .439 slugging percentage and contributions across their lineup, while the Yankees sit a handful behind at 170-171. Houston Astros and Atlanta Braves remain within striking distance at 164-166, supported by consistent power from players like Yordan Alvarez and Matt Olson. Late-season form, injury management, and schedule strength will likely determine final positioning in this closely contested race.
This market will resolve according to the team that hits the most home runs during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If two teams tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the team that scores the most runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with the higher run differential during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the most home runs cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If two teams tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the team that scores the most runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with the higher run differential during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the most home runs cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 2, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Volume
$589,940End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.mlb.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the team that hits the most home runs during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If two teams tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the team that scores the most runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with the higher run differential during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the most home runs cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 50% for several contenders reflects the narrow gap separating the Washington Nationals and New York Yankees atop the MLB home run leaderboard through mid-August. The Nationals pace the league with roughly 177-180 homers in 124-125 games, fueled by a .439 slugging percentage and contributions across their lineup, while the Yankees sit a handful behind at 170-171. Houston Astros and Atlanta Braves remain within striking distance at 164-166, supported by consistent power from players like Yordan Alvarez and Matt Olson. Late-season form, injury management, and schedule strength will likely determine final positioning in this closely contested race.
This market will resolve according to the team that hits the most home runs during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If two teams tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the team that scores the most runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with the higher run differential during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the most home runs cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If two teams tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the team that scores the most runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with the higher run differential during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the most home runs cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$589,940End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.mlb.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 50% for several contenders reflects the narrow gap separating the Washington Nationals and New York Yankees atop the MLB home run leaderboard through mid-August. The Nationals pace the league with roughly 177-180 homers in 124-125 games, fueled by a .439 slugging percentage and contributions across their lineup, while the Yankees sit a handful behind at 170-171. Houston Astros and Atlanta Braves remain within striking distance at 164-166, supported by consistent power from players like Yordan Alvarez and Matt Olson. Late-season form, injury management, and schedule strength will likely determine final positioning in this closely contested race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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