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Sports·MLB

MLB: Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Runs Leader
Sports·MLB

MLB: Runs Leader

Shohei Ohtani 3.4%

Kyle Schwarber 2.8%

Aaron Judge 2.8%

Ben Rice 2.5%

Polymarket

$1,680,171 Vol.

Shohei Ohtani 3.4%

Kyle Schwarber 2.8%

Aaron Judge 2.8%

Ben Rice 2.5%

Polymarket

$1,680,171 Vol.

Shohei Ohtani

$4,642 Vol.

3%

Kyle Schwarber

$478 Vol.

3%

Aaron Judge

$1,190 Vol.

3%

Ben Rice

$599 Vol.

2%

Yordan Alvarez

$1,545 Vol.

2%

José Ramírez

$462 Vol.

2%

Drake Baldwin

$968 Vol.

2%

Gunnar Henderson

$797,756 Vol.

1%

Zach Neto

$125 Vol.

1%

José Bell

$398 Vol.

1%

Carlos Correa

$136,001 Vol.

1%

Byron Buxton

$425 Vol.

1%

Luke Wood

$406 Vol.

1%

Julio Rodríguez

$62,482 Vol.

<1%

Juan Soto

$474 Vol.

<1%

Cal Raleigh

$479 Vol.

<1%

Francisco Lindor

$1,177 Vol.

<1%

Dansby Swanson

$442 Vol.

<1%

Corbin Carroll

$1,177 Vol.

<1%

Mookie Betts

$588 Vol.

<1%

Brett Turang

$125 Vol.

<1%

Mike Trout

$496 Vol.

<1%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$856 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$664,357 Vol.

<1%

George Springer

$939 Vol.

<1%

Elly De La Cruz

$553 Vol.

<1%

Jose Altuve

$527 Vol.

<1%

Randy Arozarena

$501 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The wide-open MLB runs leader market reflects a tightly bunched group of power hitters and table-setters through mid-August 2026, with no player exceeding roughly 100 runs and over 40 games remaining. Kyle Schwarber leads the consensus at 2.9% implied probability on the strength of his 69 runs, high walk rate, and Phillies lineup support, while Aaron Judge, Ben Rice, and Yordan Alvarez sit near 2.5% amid strong on-base and extra-base production. Key differentiators include remaining schedule strength, injury resilience, and team run environment, as leadoff or middle-order bats like James Wood, Matt Olson, and Pete Crow-Armstrong have posted the highest actual totals to date but face comparable paths to the finish. Trader pricing underscores the season-long volatility inherent in individual run accumulation.

This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,680,171
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The wide-open MLB runs leader market reflects a tightly bunched group of power hitters and table-setters through mid-August 2026, with no player exceeding roughly 100 runs and over 40 games remaining. Kyle Schwarber leads the consensus at 2.9% implied probability on the strength of his 69 runs, high walk rate, and Phillies lineup support, while Aaron Judge, Ben Rice, and Yordan Alvarez sit near 2.5% amid strong on-base and extra-base production. Key differentiators include remaining schedule strength, injury resilience, and team run environment, as leadoff or middle-order bats like James Wood, Matt Olson, and Pete Crow-Armstrong have posted the highest actual totals to date but face comparable paths to the finish. Trader pricing underscores the season-long volatility inherent in individual run accumulation.

This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,680,171
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Runs Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shohei Ohtani" at 3%, followed by "Kyle Schwarber" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 3¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 3% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Runs Leader" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Runs Leader," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "MLB: Runs Leader" is "Shohei Ohtani" at just 3%, with "Kyle Schwarber" close behind at 3%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Runs Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.