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Sports·Baseball

MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)

icon for MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)
Sports·Baseball

MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)

Cincinnati Reds 40.9%

New York Mets 36.2%

Philadelphia Phillies 34.6%

Arizona Diamondbacks 10.1%

Polymarket

$1,288,049 Vol.

Cincinnati Reds 40.9%

New York Mets 36.2%

Philadelphia Phillies 34.6%

Arizona Diamondbacks 10.1%

Polymarket

$1,288,049 Vol.

Cincinnati Reds

$1,262 Vol.

41%

New York Mets

$465,201 Vol.

36%

Philadelphia Phillies

$557,215 Vol.

25%

Arizona Diamondbacks

$1,109 Vol.

10%

Cleveland Guardians

$479 Vol.

8%

Washington Nationals

$445 Vol.

7%

Chicago Cubs

$1,139 Vol.

6%

Toronto Blue Jays

$349 Vol.

4%

Houston Astros

$389 Vol.

4%

Pittsburgh Pirates

$331 Vol.

4%

Athletics

$1,086 Vol.

4%

Los Angeles Dodgers

$2,847 Vol.

3%

Detroit Tigers

$152,561 Vol.

2%

Tampa Bay Rays

$1,011 Vol.

2%

Colorado Rockies

$1,082 Vol.

1%

Kansas City Royals

$811 Vol.

<1%

Baltimore Orioles

$506 Vol.

19%

Chicago White Sox

$492 Vol.

18%

Texas Rangers

$1,296 Vol.

<1%

New York Yankees

$1,314 Vol.

<1%

Atlanta Braves

$530 Vol.

<1%

San Diego Padres

$300 Vol.

<1%

Seattle Mariners

$374 Vol.

<1%

Los Angeles Angels

$448 Vol.

<1%

St. Louis Cardinals

$473 Vol.

<1%

Boston Red Sox

$407 Vol.

<1%

Minnesota Twins

$518 Vol.

<1%

San Francisco Giants

$384 Vol.

<1%

Miami Marlins

$93,161 Vol.

34%

Milwaukee Brewers

$526 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several MLB teams remain tightly bunched in the race for the highest ABS challenge success rate because overturn percentages fluctuate with small sample sizes, differing challenge volumes from batters versus catchers and pitchers, and late-season usage patterns. The Cincinnati Reds hold a modest edge through strong catcher leadership and selective timing in high-leverage innings, while the Mets and Cubs stay close behind via improved batter accuracy and defensive staff execution. Recent August results show how head-to-head matchups, rest advantages, and roster tweaks can shift team totals quickly, keeping implied probabilities competitive among the top group as the season winds down.

This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.

If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,288,049
End Date
Oct 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several MLB teams remain tightly bunched in the race for the highest ABS challenge success rate because overturn percentages fluctuate with small sample sizes, differing challenge volumes from batters versus catchers and pitchers, and late-season usage patterns. The Cincinnati Reds hold a modest edge through strong catcher leadership and selective timing in high-leverage innings, while the Mets and Cubs stay close behind via improved batter accuracy and defensive staff execution. Recent August results show how head-to-head matchups, rest advantages, and roster tweaks can shift team totals quickly, keeping implied probabilities competitive among the top group as the season winds down.

This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.

If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,288,049
End Date
Oct 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cincinnati Reds" at 41%, followed by "New York Mets" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" is "Cincinnati Reds" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "New York Mets" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.