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icon for MLB: 2026 American League Champion
Sports·American League

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

icon for MLB: 2026 American League Champion
Sports·American League

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

New York Yankees 25%

Tampa Bay Rays 21.5%

Boston Red Sox 16.6%

Houston Astros 10.1%

Polymarket

$4,193,264 Vol.

New York Yankees 25%

Tampa Bay Rays 21.5%

Boston Red Sox 16.6%

Houston Astros 10.1%

Polymarket

$4,193,264 Vol.

New York Yankees

$50,162 Vol.

25%

Tampa Bay Rays

$393,080 Vol.

22%

Boston Red Sox

$50,870 Vol.

17%

Houston Astros

$779,171 Vol.

10%

Texas Rangers

$25,976 Vol.

8%

Chicago White Sox

$247,427 Vol.

7%

Detroit Tigers

$112,136 Vol.

5%

Seattle Mariners

$31,140 Vol.

4%

Cleveland Guardians

$733,161 Vol.

4%

Minnesota Twins

$251,352 Vol.

2%

Baltimore Orioles

$64,669 Vol.

1%

Toronto Blue Jays

$146,054 Vol.

1%

Athletics

$153,209 Vol.

<1%

Los Angeles Angels

$306,693 Vol.

<1%

Kansas City Royals

$848,162 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities among the New York Yankees, Tampa Bay Rays, and Boston Red Sox reflects the AL East's dominance midway through the 2026 season, where the Rays hold a roughly six-game division lead at 72-46 while the Yankees and Red Sox remain within striking distance at 66-52 and 64-55. Recent hot streaks, including the Rays' seven-game win run and strong home performance, have bolstered their positioning alongside the Yankees' consistent run differential and the Red Sox's series-winning momentum before a recent skid. In the AL West and Central, the Houston Astros, Texas Rangers, and Chicago White Sox trail as longer shots due to middling records near .500 and thinner rosters relative to the East contenders, leaving the pennant race open with significant games remaining and no clear separation among the top clubs.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,193,264
End Date
Nov 1, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities among the New York Yankees, Tampa Bay Rays, and Boston Red Sox reflects the AL East's dominance midway through the 2026 season, where the Rays hold a roughly six-game division lead at 72-46 while the Yankees and Red Sox remain within striking distance at 66-52 and 64-55. Recent hot streaks, including the Rays' seven-game win run and strong home performance, have bolstered their positioning alongside the Yankees' consistent run differential and the Red Sox's series-winning momentum before a recent skid. In the AL West and Central, the Houston Astros, Texas Rangers, and Chicago White Sox trail as longer shots due to middling records near .500 and thinner rosters relative to the East contenders, leaving the pennant race open with significant games remaining and no clear separation among the top clubs.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,193,264
End Date
Nov 1, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 American League Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "New York Yankees" at 25%, followed by "Tampa Bay Rays" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 American League Champion" has generated $4.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 American League Champion," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 American League Champion" is "New York Yankees" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tampa Bay Rays" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 American League Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.