The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 40-47% reflects a crowded field of National League players returning from major injuries or sharp performance dips in 2025. Michael Harris II leads early sentiment after a strong finish to last season and productive 2026 starts in center field for Atlanta, while Brandon Woodruff sits just behind following pain-free outings in his gradual return from shoulder surgery with Milwaukee. Tanner Scott, Porter Hodge, Sean Manaea, and Ezequiel Tovar each post comparable shares on the strength of recent form and roster roles, with Shota Imanaga, Zack Wheeler, and Sandy Alcantara rounding out the group on comeback trajectories from prior health setbacks. This distribution captures the wisdom of crowds assessing comparable paths to the award based on ongoing playing time and statistical rebounds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTanner Scott 43%
Michael Harris II 42%
Brandon Woodruff 37%
Sean Manaea 36%
$16,095 Vol.
$16,095 Vol.
Tanner Scott
43%
Michael Harris II
42%
Brandon Woodruff
37%
Sean Manaea
36%
Zack Wheeler
52%
Ezequiel Tovar
34%
Porter Hodge
31%
Shota Imanaga
29%
Sandy Alcantara
12%
O'Neil Cruz
7%
Tanner Scott 43%
Michael Harris II 42%
Brandon Woodruff 37%
Sean Manaea 36%
$16,095 Vol.
$16,095 Vol.
Tanner Scott
43%
Michael Harris II
42%
Brandon Woodruff
37%
Sean Manaea
36%
Zack Wheeler
52%
Ezequiel Tovar
34%
Porter Hodge
31%
Shota Imanaga
29%
Sandy Alcantara
12%
O'Neil Cruz
7%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 40-47% reflects a crowded field of National League players returning from major injuries or sharp performance dips in 2025. Michael Harris II leads early sentiment after a strong finish to last season and productive 2026 starts in center field for Atlanta, while Brandon Woodruff sits just behind following pain-free outings in his gradual return from shoulder surgery with Milwaukee. Tanner Scott, Porter Hodge, Sean Manaea, and Ezequiel Tovar each post comparable shares on the strength of recent form and roster roles, with Shota Imanaga, Zack Wheeler, and Sandy Alcantara rounding out the group on comeback trajectories from prior health setbacks. This distribution captures the wisdom of crowds assessing comparable paths to the award based on ongoing playing time and statistical rebounds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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