Zack Wheeler holds an overwhelming 84.5% implied probability in the NL Comeback Player of the Year market after recovering from thoracic outlet syndrome surgery late in the 2025 season. The Phillies right-hander returned in April 2026 and delivered consistent results, including a sub-3.00 ERA across 150-plus innings with strong strikeout totals and WHIP near 1.06 through late September. This performance stands out against candidates like Sandy Alcantara, whose post-Tommy John results remained uneven, and Michael Harris II, whose offensive rebound has drawn support but lacks the same injury-severity narrative. Tanner Scott and others trail further behind on thinner volume and less pronounced comebacks, reflecting trader consensus on Wheeler's sustained health and production as the defining factor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZack Wheeler 85%
Michael Harris II 4.3%
Tanner Scott 4.0%
Sandy Alcantara 3.3%
$151,404 Vol.
$151,404 Vol.
Zack Wheeler
85%
Michael Harris II
4%
Tanner Scott
4%
Sandy Alcantara
3%
O'Neil Cruz
3%
Brandon Woodruff
1%
Ezequiel Tovar
1%
Sean Manaea
1%
Shota Imanaga
<1%
Porter Hodge
<1%
Zack Wheeler 85%
Michael Harris II 4.3%
Tanner Scott 4.0%
Sandy Alcantara 3.3%
$151,404 Vol.
$151,404 Vol.
Zack Wheeler
85%
Michael Harris II
4%
Tanner Scott
4%
Sandy Alcantara
3%
O'Neil Cruz
3%
Brandon Woodruff
1%
Ezequiel Tovar
1%
Sean Manaea
1%
Shota Imanaga
<1%
Porter Hodge
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Zack Wheeler holds an overwhelming 84.5% implied probability in the NL Comeback Player of the Year market after recovering from thoracic outlet syndrome surgery late in the 2025 season. The Phillies right-hander returned in April 2026 and delivered consistent results, including a sub-3.00 ERA across 150-plus innings with strong strikeout totals and WHIP near 1.06 through late September. This performance stands out against candidates like Sandy Alcantara, whose post-Tommy John results remained uneven, and Michael Harris II, whose offensive rebound has drawn support but lacks the same injury-severity narrative. Tanner Scott and others trail further behind on thinner volume and less pronounced comebacks, reflecting trader consensus on Wheeler's sustained health and production as the defining factor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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