Trader consensus assigns Inter Miami CF the highest implied probability at 17.5% for the 2026 MLS Cup, driven by their high-powered attack and consistent regular-season results, yet the tight spread to Vancouver Whitecaps FC at 11.8% and Los Angeles FC at 9.5% highlights the league’s parity. Multiple clubs maintain strong rosters, positive goal differentials, and favorable home records through the early campaign, with roster depth, recent form, and injury recoveries keeping several contenders within striking distance. This bunched field reflects the absence of a runaway favorite, as mid-table teams continue to challenge through improved possession metrics and set-piece execution while the bottom clubs remain capable of pulling points in any given week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedInter Miami CF 18%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 11.8%
Los Angeles FC 10%
Nashville SC 6.4%
$17,031,596 Vol.
$17,031,596 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
18%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
12%
Los Angeles FC
10%
Nashville SC
6%
San Jose Earthquakes
5%
FC Cincinnati
4%
San Diego FC
4%
Seattle Sounders FC
4%
LA Galaxy
4%
New York City FC
4%
Columbus Crew
3%
Minnesota United FC
3%
Orlando City SC
3%
Toronto FC
2%
Houston Dynamo FC
2%
Real Salt Lake
2%
Chicago Fire FC
2%
Charlotte FC
2%
Philadelphia Union
1%
New England Revolution
1%
D.C. United
1%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Colorado Rapids
1%
FC Dallas
1%
Austin FC
1%
New York Red Bulls
1%
St. Louis City SC
<1%
CF Montréal
<1%
Portland Timbers
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
Inter Miami CF 18%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 11.8%
Los Angeles FC 10%
Nashville SC 6.4%
$17,031,596 Vol.
$17,031,596 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
18%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
12%
Los Angeles FC
10%
Nashville SC
6%
San Jose Earthquakes
5%
FC Cincinnati
4%
San Diego FC
4%
Seattle Sounders FC
4%
LA Galaxy
4%
New York City FC
4%
Columbus Crew
3%
Minnesota United FC
3%
Orlando City SC
3%
Toronto FC
2%
Houston Dynamo FC
2%
Real Salt Lake
2%
Chicago Fire FC
2%
Charlotte FC
2%
Philadelphia Union
1%
New England Revolution
1%
D.C. United
1%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Colorado Rapids
1%
FC Dallas
1%
Austin FC
1%
New York Red Bulls
1%
St. Louis City SC
<1%
CF Montréal
<1%
Portland Timbers
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus assigns Inter Miami CF the highest implied probability at 17.5% for the 2026 MLS Cup, driven by their high-powered attack and consistent regular-season results, yet the tight spread to Vancouver Whitecaps FC at 11.8% and Los Angeles FC at 9.5% highlights the league’s parity. Multiple clubs maintain strong rosters, positive goal differentials, and favorable home records through the early campaign, with roster depth, recent form, and injury recoveries keeping several contenders within striking distance. This bunched field reflects the absence of a runaway favorite, as mid-table teams continue to challenge through improved possession metrics and set-piece execution while the bottom clubs remain capable of pulling points in any given week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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