Philadelphia Union's home advantage at Subaru Park drives trader consensus to a 42% implied probability for a win, edging out Columbus Crew's 31% despite both clubs languishing near the Eastern Conference basement—Union 15th, Crew 12th—with poor recent form and goal differences. The Crew's 2-0 clean-sheet victory over Philadelphia on April 25 underscores their head-to-head edge, but mutual injury crises temper expectations: Union without midfield anchors Quinn Sullivan (cruciate ligament tear), Jesús Bueno (ankle), and Japhet Sery Larsen (shoulder), plus questionable GK André Blake (knee); Crew sidelined by Wessam Abou Ali (knee), Jamal Thiaré (lower leg), and Mohamed Farsi (pelvic). Union's May 10 defeat added defender Frankie Westfield to the injury list, heightening draw viability at 27% in this closely contested matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Philadelphia Union wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 19, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Philadelphia Union wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 19, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...Philadelphia Union's home advantage at Subaru Park drives trader consensus to a 42% implied probability for a win, edging out Columbus Crew's 31% despite both clubs languishing near the Eastern Conference basement—Union 15th, Crew 12th—with poor recent form and goal differences. The Crew's 2-0 clean-sheet victory over Philadelphia on April 25 underscores their head-to-head edge, but mutual injury crises temper expectations: Union without midfield anchors Quinn Sullivan (cruciate ligament tear), Jesús Bueno (ankle), and Japhet Sery Larsen (shoulder), plus questionable GK André Blake (knee); Crew sidelined by Wessam Abou Ali (knee), Jamal Thiaré (lower leg), and Mohamed Farsi (pelvic). Union's May 10 defeat added defender Frankie Westfield to the injury list, heightening draw viability at 27% in this closely contested matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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