Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Passing TDs Leader
Sports·CFB

NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Passing TDs Leader

icon for NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Passing TDs Leader
Sports·CFB

NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Passing TDs Leader

CJ Carr 45%

Dante Moore 45%

Arch Manning 45%

Bryce Underwood 45%

Polymarket
NEW

CJ Carr 45%

Dante Moore 45%

Arch Manning 45%

Bryce Underwood 45%

Polymarket
NEW

CJ Carr

$0 Vol.

45%

Dante Moore

$0 Vol.

45%

Arch Manning

$0 Vol.

45%

Bryce Underwood

$0 Vol.

45%

Rocco Becht

$0 Vol.

45%

Caden Veltkamp

$0 Vol.

45%

Kevin Jennings

$0 Vol.

45%

Julian Sayin

$0 Vol.

45%

Conner Weigman

$0 Vol.

45%

Trinidad Chambliss

$0 Vol.

45%

DJ Lagway

$0 Vol.

45%

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele

$0 Vol.

45%

John Mateer

$0 Vol.

45%

Noah Fifita

$0 Vol.

45%

Keelon Russell

$0 Vol.

45%

LaNorris Sellers

$0 Vol.

45%

CJ Bailey

$0 Vol.

45%

Demond Williams Jr.

$0 Vol.

45%

Sam Leavitt

$0 Vol.

45%

Marcel Reed

$0 Vol.

45%

Owen McCown

$0 Vol.

44%

Devon Dampier

$0 Vol.

43%

Bear Bachmeier

$0 Vol.

43%

Nico Iamaleava

$0 Vol.

43%

Drew Mestemaker

$0 Vol.

43%

Jayden Maiava

$0 Vol.

42%

Josh Hoover

$0 Vol.

42%

Will Hammond

$0 Vol.

42%

Avery Johnson

$0 Vol.

42%

Darian Mensah

$0 Vol.

41%

Byrum Brown

$0 Vol.

40%

Gunner Stockton

$0 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games. If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led NCAA FBS in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 NCAA Division I passing touchdowns race sits in an unusually tight cluster of implied probabilities because the season has only just begun, leaving outcomes highly dependent on early offensive production, supporting casts, and schedule strength across power-conference programs. Quarterbacks such as Julian Sayin at Ohio State, Jayden Maiava at USC, Trinidad Chambliss at Ole Miss, Arch Manning at Texas, and CJ Carr at Notre Dame enter with elite weapons and proven efficiency from prior campaigns, while others like Caden Veltkamp at Florida Atlantic carry volume-based momentum from record-setting 2025 numbers in a less competitive environment. Week 1 results have produced scattered multi-touchdown outings without establishing separation, and factors including offensive line health, receiver availability, and defensive matchups remain fluid. This setup keeps the field wide open, with no single signal-caller holding a decisive edge in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games.

If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led NCAA FBS in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games. If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led NCAA FBS in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games. If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led NCAA FBS in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 NCAA Division I passing touchdowns race sits in an unusually tight cluster of implied probabilities because the season has only just begun, leaving outcomes highly dependent on early offensive production, supporting casts, and schedule strength across power-conference programs. Quarterbacks such as Julian Sayin at Ohio State, Jayden Maiava at USC, Trinidad Chambliss at Ole Miss, Arch Manning at Texas, and CJ Carr at Notre Dame enter with elite weapons and proven efficiency from prior campaigns, while others like Caden Veltkamp at Florida Atlantic carry volume-based momentum from record-setting 2025 numbers in a less competitive environment. Week 1 results have produced scattered multi-touchdown outings without establishing separation, and factors including offensive line health, receiver availability, and defensive matchups remain fluid. This setup keeps the field wide open, with no single signal-caller holding a decisive edge in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games.

If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led NCAA FBS in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games. If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led NCAA FBS in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will Devon Dampier be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?

Will Devon Dampier be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?

27%
icon for Will Jordon Davison be the 2026 D1 Rushing TDs Leader?

Will Jordon Davison be the 2026 D1 Rushing TDs Leader?

47%
icon for Will Danny Scudero be the 2026 D1 Receiving TDs Leader?

Will Danny Scudero be the 2026 D1 Receiving TDs Leader?

47%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Passing TDs Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 32 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "CJ Carr" at 45%, followed by "Dante Moore" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Passing TDs Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Passing TDs Leader," browse the 32 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Passing TDs Leader" is "CJ Carr" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dante Moore" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Passing TDs Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.