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Sports·EPL

Next Manchester United manager?

icon for Next Manchester United manager?
Sports·EPL

Next Manchester United manager?

Michael Carrick 97.4%

Thomas Tuchel <1%

Ole Gunnar Solskjær <1%

Gareth Southgate <1%

Polymarket

$855,596 Vol.

Michael Carrick 97.4%

Thomas Tuchel <1%

Ole Gunnar Solskjær <1%

Gareth Southgate <1%

Polymarket

$855,596 Vol.

Michael Carrick

$367,176 Vol.

97%

Thomas Tuchel

$9,391 Vol.

1%

Ole Gunnar Solskjær

$124,104 Vol.

1%

Gareth Southgate

$24,831 Vol.

1%

Luis Enrique

$6,624 Vol.

1%

Kieran McKenna

$10,691 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Glasner

$68,391 Vol.

<1%

Enzo Maresca

$16,506 Vol.

<1%

Darren Fletcher

$183,003 Vol.

<1%

Xavi

$6,794 Vol.

<1%

Xabi Alonso

$14,219 Vol.

<1%

Laurent Blanc

$23,867 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Manchester United's January 2026 appointment of club legend Michael Carrick as interim head coach through the 2025/26 Premier League season has propelled his trader consensus to a dominant 97.9% implied probability, fueled by his transformative impact in 15 matches, including a nomination for Manager of the Season award. Strong dressing room backing, a formal interview process, and failed pursuits of alternatives like Thomas Tuchel—whose new England deal derailed interest—and Julian Nagelsmann have solidified his position, with club officials now advancing permanent contract talks amid positive momentum. Realistic challenges remain slim but could arise from an unforeseen marquee candidate emerging post-season or a late collapse in results threatening continuity.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$855,596
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Manchester United's January 2026 appointment of club legend Michael Carrick as interim head coach through the 2025/26 Premier League season has propelled his trader consensus to a dominant 97.9% implied probability, fueled by his transformative impact in 15 matches, including a nomination for Manager of the Season award. Strong dressing room backing, a formal interview process, and failed pursuits of alternatives like Thomas Tuchel—whose new England deal derailed interest—and Julian Nagelsmann have solidified his position, with club officials now advancing permanent contract talks amid positive momentum. Realistic challenges remain slim but could arise from an unforeseen marquee candidate emerging post-season or a late collapse in results threatening continuity.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$855,596
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Manchester United manager?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael Carrick" at 97%, followed by "Thomas Tuchel" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Manchester United manager?" has generated $855.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Manchester United manager?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Manchester United manager?" is "Michael Carrick" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Thomas Tuchel" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Manchester United manager?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.