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Sports·EPL

Next Manchester United manager?

icon for Next Manchester United manager?
Sports·EPL

Next Manchester United manager?

Michael Carrick 97.8%

Thomas Tuchel 1.0%

Luis Enrique <1%

Oliver Glasner <1%

Polymarket

$830,966 Vol.

Michael Carrick 97.8%

Thomas Tuchel 1.0%

Luis Enrique <1%

Oliver Glasner <1%

Polymarket

$830,966 Vol.

Michael Carrick

$356,905 Vol.

98%

Thomas Tuchel

$9,291 Vol.

1%

Luis Enrique

$6,624 Vol.

1%

Oliver Glasner

$67,976 Vol.

<1%

Gareth Southgate

$24,831 Vol.

<1%

Kieran McKenna

$10,691 Vol.

<1%

Enzo Maresca

$16,506 Vol.

<1%

Darren Fletcher

$183,003 Vol.

<1%

Laurent Blanc

$15,482 Vol.

<1%

Ole Gunnar Solskjær

$123,807 Vol.

<1%

Xavi

$6,762 Vol.

<1%

Xabi Alonso

$9,089 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Michael Carrick's dominant 97.9% implied probability as Manchester United's next permanent head coach stems from his successful interim stint since January 2026, where he won nine of 13 matches and secured Champions League qualification for 2026/27, impressing club chiefs including Sir Jim Ratcliffe. Recent reports over the past 48 hours confirm key decision-makers have given him the green light, ruling out rivals like Thomas Tuchel and Kieran McKenna while targeting additions like Aaron Danks for his backroom staff, with an official announcement imminent post-season. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus prices other outcomes near zero, though a dramatic late pivot to an external name amid final-day surprises could theoretically challenge it.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$830,966
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Michael Carrick's dominant 97.9% implied probability as Manchester United's next permanent head coach stems from his successful interim stint since January 2026, where he won nine of 13 matches and secured Champions League qualification for 2026/27, impressing club chiefs including Sir Jim Ratcliffe. Recent reports over the past 48 hours confirm key decision-makers have given him the green light, ruling out rivals like Thomas Tuchel and Kieran McKenna while targeting additions like Aaron Danks for his backroom staff, with an official announcement imminent post-season. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus prices other outcomes near zero, though a dramatic late pivot to an external name amid final-day surprises could theoretically challenge it.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$830,966
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Manchester United manager?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael Carrick" at 98%, followed by "Thomas Tuchel" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Manchester United manager?" has generated $831K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Manchester United manager?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Manchester United manager?" is "Michael Carrick" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Thomas Tuchel" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Manchester United manager?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.