Oura’s IPO pricing terms, disclosed September 21, position the smart-ring maker for a fully diluted market capitalization of roughly $14–15.6 billion at the $40–$44 per share range, directly supporting the market’s leading $15–17.5 billion bracket at 32.5% implied probability. Revenue reached $1.21 billion for the nine months ended June 30, 2026, up 74% year-over-year, with paid memberships doubling to 5 million and subscription revenue growing 121% at 89% gross margins, while hardware still accounts for about 80% of sales. The offering is heavily secondary—73% of shares sold by existing investors such as Forerunner Ventures—with only modest primary proceeds, and the listing is set to price the week of September 28 on Nasdaq under ticker OURA amid broader market caution over AI-related volatility and Treasury yields. Cornerstone demand from Eli Lilly and Dragoneer provides a floor, yet the closely contested probabilities across the $12.5–15 billion and $17.5–20 billion brackets reflect uncertainty around first-day trading dynamics and any post-pricing revisions to fully diluted share count.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$15B–$17.5B 33%
$12.5B–$15B 23%
$17.5B–$20B 17%
$20B+ 15%
$458,310 Vol.
$458,310 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$7.5B
1%
$7.5B–$10B
1%
$10B–$12.5B
3%
$12.5B–$15B
23%
$15B–$17.5B
33%
$17.5B–$20B
17%
$20B+
15%
No IPO before January 2027
1%
$15B–$17.5B 33%
$12.5B–$15B 23%
$17.5B–$20B 17%
$20B+ 15%
$458,310 Vol.
$458,310 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$7.5B
$60,963 Vol.
1%
$7.5B–$10B
$84,162 Vol.
1%
$10B–$12.5B
$74,831 Vol.
3%
$12.5B–$15B
$87,476 Vol.
23%
$15B–$17.5B
$50,582 Vol.
33%
$17.5B–$20B
$36,992 Vol.
17%
$20B+
$51,779 Vol.
15%
No IPO before January 2027
$11,526 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Oura’s IPO pricing terms, disclosed September 21, position the smart-ring maker for a fully diluted market capitalization of roughly $14–15.6 billion at the $40–$44 per share range, directly supporting the market’s leading $15–17.5 billion bracket at 32.5% implied probability. Revenue reached $1.21 billion for the nine months ended June 30, 2026, up 74% year-over-year, with paid memberships doubling to 5 million and subscription revenue growing 121% at 89% gross margins, while hardware still accounts for about 80% of sales. The offering is heavily secondary—73% of shares sold by existing investors such as Forerunner Ventures—with only modest primary proceeds, and the listing is set to price the week of September 28 on Nasdaq under ticker OURA amid broader market caution over AI-related volatility and Treasury yields. Cornerstone demand from Eli Lilly and Dragoneer provides a floor, yet the closely contested probabilities across the $12.5–15 billion and $17.5–20 billion brackets reflect uncertainty around first-day trading dynamics and any post-pricing revisions to fully diluted share count.
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$458,310End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Oura’s IPO pricing terms, disclosed September 21, position the smart-ring maker for a fully diluted market capitalization of roughly $14–15.6 billion at the $40–$44 per share range, directly supporting the market’s leading $15–17.5 billion bracket at 32.5% implied probability. Revenue reached $1.21 billion for the nine months ended June 30, 2026, up 74% year-over-year, with paid memberships doubling to 5 million and subscription revenue growing 121% at 89% gross margins, while hardware still accounts for about 80% of sales. The offering is heavily secondary—73% of shares sold by existing investors such as Forerunner Ventures—with only modest primary proceeds, and the listing is set to price the week of September 28 on Nasdaq under ticker OURA amid broader market caution over AI-related volatility and Treasury yields. Cornerstone demand from Eli Lilly and Dragoneer provides a floor, yet the closely contested probabilities across the $12.5–15 billion and $17.5–20 billion brackets reflect uncertainty around first-day trading dynamics and any post-pricing revisions to fully diluted share count.
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$458,310End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Oura’s IPO pricing terms, disclosed September 21, position the smart-ring maker for a fully diluted market capitalization of roughly $14–15.6 billion at the $40–$44 per share range, directly supporting the market’s leading $15–17.5 billion bracket at 32.5% implied probability. Revenue reached $1.21 billion for the nine months ended June 30, 2026, up 74% year-over-year, with paid memberships doubling to 5 million and subscription revenue growing 121% at 89% gross margins, while hardware still accounts for about 80% of sales. The offering is heavily secondary—73% of shares sold by existing investors such as Forerunner Ventures—with only modest primary proceeds, and the listing is set to price the week of September 28 on Nasdaq under ticker OURA amid broader market caution over AI-related volatility and Treasury yields. Cornerstone demand from Eli Lilly and Dragoneer provides a floor, yet the closely contested probabilities across the $12.5–15 billion and $17.5–20 billion brackets reflect uncertainty around first-day trading dynamics and any post-pricing revisions to fully diluted share count.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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